Hillary Clinton coulda won
Hillary Clinton woulda won.
The reason why Hillary didn't win is due only to the strategy that failed.
It was the wrong strategy. If it were the right strategy, Hillary would be POTUS.
But to prove my point, I will explain the biggest blunders and some of the solutions for the next election and will get an argument from everybody. Not on the basis of substance. But by those in hot pursuit of symbolic gestures seeking validation.
Beyond the Presidency, the Democrats failed to reclaim The House, failed to reclaim The Senate.
These are incontrovertible facts. Not opinions.
Let's get started.
The first thing to touch on is the mea culpa by the media.
WHY? HOW?
We failed to predict the outcome of the election. Why? How?
I know, let's switch the topic of this article to why Donald Trump won, point fingers, vilify the opposition and claim, if not victory, at least the moral high ground.
That speaks volumes.
FIRST OF ALL:
It's called Newton's 3rd Law of Physics. The pendulum swings both ways.
Now, if you are among the generation of those who ran the campaign, you remember:
Just because it always happens doesn't mean it will happen again.
That's negative.
That's disempowering.
That's disrespectful.
That's self-defeating.
Just because you were right last time, doesn't mean you will be right this time. Just because you were right this time, doesn't mean you will be right the next time.
The first failure, then, is not the failure to concede the existence of Newton's 3rd Law. It is the denial of it's validity and refusal to ask,
"Why does this happen? What can we do about it?"
Routinely, the switch is due to voter dissatisfaction.
"Your ideas failed. We will try their ideas."
"Their ideas failed. We will try your ideas again."
Instead, ask:
What are the Republicans selling?
Why do people like what the Republicans are selling?
Is there anything we can co-opt--incorporate SOME of their ideas into our platform to improve our chances of keeping the Oval Office?
FAILED POSTURE
We all know about Donald Trump's record with women. We also know all about Bill Clinton's record with women. The attack on Donald Trump did not fizzle out. The attack had no fizz to begin with.
Let's turn the tables with a Saturday Night Live style skit for the purpose of illumination. Focus on the lesson only. Not the lesson you want. What people really hear. Not what you want people to hear. Then I will offer the solution. A learning opportunity.
THE DEBATE
Wolf Blitzer
Mrs. Clinton, would you like to make an opening statement?
Mrs. Clinton
Thank you, Wolf. Yes I would. My opponent preys on women, he's a misogynist, a degenerate, a pig, he's unfit to be President, let's all hate him. Vote for me.
Wolf Blitzer
A very well thought out and sensitive opening statement, Mrs. Clinton. Very Presidential. Now, Mr. Trump, is there any excuse you have for your despicable behavior illuminate by our former first Lady, Senator, and Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton in her brilliant and sensitive opening statement?
Trump
Well, Mr. Blitzer, the only thing I can say is that I am a little disappointed with my opponents opening statement when you consider that her husband, Bill Clinton, was impeached for worse----
Mrs. Clinton
There he goes again. There he goes again. Taking the low road, taking the low road. But as my good friend and First Lady said to me, when they go low, you go high. And I refuse to sink to my opponents level. I'm taking the high road. I'm taking the high road.
Wolf Blitzer
Good for you Mrs. Clinton. Thank you for raising the level of this campaign to the American values we cherish and hold so dear.
Now! Do you see how things can be portrayed? Don't bitch and moan. The strategy had no fizz to begin with. This is the right way to handle the problem.
THE RIGHT WAY.
Mrs. Clinton
Wolf, I am not going to discuss my opponents record with women because my husband, Bill, was impeached for worse behavior. But let me emphasise. I am not Bill Clinton. I am Hillary Clinton. I will let the media focus on my opponents record while I stick to the issues and outline for the American people how I intend to solve the problems with Health Care, the Economy, Unemployment, National Security, and the Environment.
If you don't believe me, I will cite someone with rather substantial credentials.
There is a right way and a wrong way to handle that issue.
As President Lyndon B. Johnson said,
"If you have a problem, shine a light on it."
DEPLORABLES
I'm watching favorable sources on CNN. Nancy Pelosi is the guest. Pelosi throws Bill Clinton under the bus. Pelosi supports part of Trump's Campaign Platform. "Nafta is bad."
When asked by the presenter, How do you respond to your critics that you knifed President Obama in the back with your failure to support TPP, APEC, whatever?
Mrs. Pelosi responded, "That's not a fair criticism. I just wanted to take a closer look. I didn't want it to be another NAFTA. NAFTA was bad for the economy. NAFTA cost American jobs. NAFTA was a disaster."
Nancy Pelosi said that.
Instead of the Democrats co-opting part of the Trump Campaign, Trump leveraged part of the Democrat's campaign platform inflicted on Hillary by Bernie Sanders. I am a globalist. I posted PowerPoint Presentations to support same.
NAFTA was a Bill Clinton deal. Mrs. Pelosi threw Bill Clinton under the Bus. There is something else I said. Hillary Clinton is getting more help from her Republican critics and opponents than she is from her Democratic friends and supporters.
APPEAL TO WOMEN
While Hillary Clinton was attempting to appeal to women, she pulled the rug out from under herself.
Back to the SNL paradigm.
Women in the Commercial
Nafta put my Dad out of work.
Nafta put my husband out of work.
Nafta put my brother out of work.
Nafta put my son out of work.
They can't find jobs.
Nafta was bad for the economy,
Nafta cost American jobs,
Nafta was a disaster.
Nancy Pelosi said so.
Nafta was a Bill Clinton deal.
How dare you call
Our Dads,
Our husbands,
Our brothers,
Our sons,
A basket of deplorables?
BUT WAIT. THERE'S MORE.
If unemployed, blue collar, working class white men are out of work and angry, then....
Twice as many unemployed, blue collar, working class black men are out of work and they are twice as angry. And so they should be. But I will focus on that specifically later in the article.
The Clinton Campaign ignored the unemployed men, Black and White. And remember, not only did the African American community refuse to turn out for Hillary Clinton, the African American community also refused to turn out for the Democrats running for Congress. Need I remind anyone, the Democrats failed to reclaim both or either house of Congress? Repeatedly!
You don't win elections by ignoring a large voting block.
A large voting block of unemployed men, Black White, Latino.
WOMEN
President Obama knew he had the support of the Black community. (Something Clinton and the Democrats did not have). President Obama needed White votes. As the old saying goes, when looking for votes: "Fish where there are fish."
Mrs. Clinton had the Woman Vote. (Almost). But Hillary Clinton did not fish for votes among unemployed men: Black, White, Latino.
FARE v. FAIR
It's Black History month. I'm watching one of the C-Span specials. We are back at the Watts Riots.
A CBS reporter is talking to a Black Woman near "the projects". She is explaining how hard it is to live, to get by, to feed and care for her children at the end of the month when benefits run out.
The CBS reporter wants to know, aren't there any [programmes, agencies, services] available?
The woman tells the reporter in Plain English......"We don't need no handouts. We need jobs."
No handouts! Jobs. We need jobs. Jobs! JOBS!
In my own blunt way:
Franklin D. Roosevelt paid white men to go to work.
Lyndon B. Johnson paid black men to stay home.
Franklin D. Roosevelt gave Workfare to white men.
Lyndon B. Johnson gave Welfare to black men.
MOMS
I don't know what percentage of mothers have at least one if not more than one son. Mom's have daughters. Mom's have sons.
Back to SNL
Fade in: Seven year old boy sitting on the floor in front of the television set watching a Hillary Clinton campaign ad.
Little Boy
Mommy, who is that lady and why does she hate me?
Mommy
Who?
Little Boy
That lady on television.
Mommy
That's Hilary Clinton. She wants to be President. If she wins the election, she will be the first woman President. She doesn't hate you. Why did you say she hates you?
Little Boy
Every time I see her she keeps talking about girls and about daughters. She never says anything about boys. She never says anything about sons. Mrs. Smith has two boys and a girl. Mrs. Jones has two girls and a boy, What about them. Are they voting for Hillary Clinton?
Cut to: Sepia tone. Melodramatic Music. Mommy with anguished, tormented look.
V.O
Oh, my. I never thought of that. What do we tell our boys? What do we tell our sons? Can I say, because little boys are competent and don't need help? Can I tell him, he has special privileges and little girls get cheated and she's helping the underdogs? Can I tell him little boys are despicable deplorables? What do the mothers of sons tell their sons?
Mrs. Clinton won 52% of the woman vote. Mrs. Clinton lost 48% of the woman vote. Mrs. Clinton forgot:
"There are no unintended consequences. Only unwanted consequences." ~ Slim Fairview
Deplorables makes a fine sound-bite. Even if falls short of the high road. You may be right about Donald Trump. But you're not attacking Trump. You're attacking the fathers, sons, husbands, and brothers of the women who vote. And, as Grandma Millie said on the topic of coming between married people:
"Two heads on one pillow."
THE MEDIA
Before the election, I tweeted, If Donald Trump gets elected, he can thank Wolf Blitzer.
Why?
The more you say something (outrageous) the more you blunt its impact.
I can see the boys sitting around the lunch table in the Millard P. Fillmore Middle School cafeteria, and giggling over their jokes. Take out the word President and put in Principal, you're in Middle School. Take out the word Principal and put in the word President, you have late night comedy.
I learned during Sophomore year of high school from a great teacher, It's not a good thing for Charlie if everyone loves Charlie. There has to be at least one person in the back of the room who says, I don't like Charlie. If he knows someone doesn't like him, Charlie will be careful about doing his job.
Take out Charlie and put in Hillary, and you have the same lesson. Unfortunately, the response fell short. "We have critics. What are they saying? How can we convince them that they are wrong?"
a. Attack our critics
b. Attack their candidate
c. Praise our candidate
e. Address their concerns to relieve their fears.
Mrs. Clinton had too many fans. Critics were vilified. No one did the research. No one did the analysis. No one addressed the concerns of Trump supporters to alleviate their fears. And, in plain English, e-mails, Comey, the FBI, and "crooked Hillary" had nothing to do with it. Few people cared about the e-mails. Campaign sound-bites. News teasers. Redefine their concerns, address the concerns they don't have, ignore the concerns they do have, lose the election.
On CNN, the focus during President Obama's re-election bid was the birther issue. Ridiculous, right? But if you keep repeating it, the outrageous claims lose their outrageous punch. Some people wonder why CNN keeps reporting on the issue. To ridicule Donald Trump or the Mitt Romney campaign?
Once, will do it. By the third time it becomes part of the urban legend. The claims lose their outrageous impact. Some, perfectly well-balanced, middle of the road people will wonder why CNN keeps bringing up the issue. By the way, the third report, where Donald Trump claimed to have documents, showed up on The Situation Room, and had no documents was the last time I watched The Situation Room. I don't want "coverage." I want News.
Coverage.
I have documents.
Come on The Situation Room and show us.
News:
I have documents.
Show us the documents then you can come on The Situation Room.
It is that simple. But wait, there's more.
In a fine example of linguistic legerdemain, Donald Trump announced:
They started it and I'm going to finish it. President Barack Obama was born in the United States. Case closed.
Do you remember who started it?
Do you remember who kept reporting it?
Do you remember who put an end to it?
Media professionals are supposed to know how this works.
To understand propaganda, you must go back to ancient Greece [Crete] and the impact of the play Antigone. Then look at Nazi occupied France and the impact of the restaging of the play Antigone. The former, was a moral lesson. However, to stage the play in Nazi occupied France, it had to pass the Nazi censors.
The Nazi censors read it and said, "Good. This will teach the people what happens to those who defy authority."
The French people read it and said, "If this young girl can risk her life, and indeed, lose her life to do what is morally right, that we can risk our lives, give up our lives to resist the occupation.
Same speech. Different audience. Different interpretation.
It wasn't the Alt Right that got Trump elected. It was the Alt Wrong.
The media failed to do "the leg work".
The media
Made assumptions,
Sought data to support their assumptions, and
Validated and reported their theories as news.
That is not science. That is not reporting. That is not news. Ideology has nothing to do with it. Misogyny had nothing to do with it. Failure to listen had much to do with it.
FAILURE TO LISTEN: FAILURE TO LEARN
When I was young we learned:
"We may not agree with what they have to say, but they have the right to say it."
These days we teach:
"They may not agree with what we have to say, but we have the right to say it."
We've all heard, "Your way is not the only way of doing it, you know. You should try it my way."
Did you ever hear, "My way isn't the only way of doing it, you know. We should try it your way."
I will now quote the most eloquent of all Presidential Orators....Lyndon B. Johnson, who said,
"I ain't never learned nothing talking."
Then? He's right. We should stop talking and listen to them and learn
Now? He's right. You should stop talking and listen to us and learn
JOBS JOBS JOBS JOBS
Two factors come into play. The first is the advantage I had in school.
One of the standardized tests we took had the following instructions.
Read the following paragraph, then answer the questions that follow.
The first question was, "In the above paragraph, what is the main point the author is trying to make?"
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
Not, what do you think the author is trying to say.
Not, what do you want the author to say.
Not, what do you think the author should be trying to say.
Focus on what the other person is saying. Try to understand it. Proceed from there.
The Media mea culpas fell short.
There is no liberal media.
The only factors are
The Quality of the Press
The Credibility of the Press
Perhaps I should have said, "The perceived quality of the press." The perceived credibility of the press."
As Kate Bosworth said to Kevin Spacey in the movie, Beyond the Sea, "People hear what they see."
As my Dad taught me when I was about 8 years old,
"No one agrees with someone else's opinion. Only his own opinion expressed by someone else."
I remember that every time someone pats me on the back.
ECONOMICS
I am watching a C-Span special for Black History Month. I learn that Richard Nixon thought entrepreneurship was essential to help the African American Community break the shackles of poverty.
I remember George Jefferson: "Moving on up....to the East Side.....to a Deluxe Apartment in the Sky."
If starting your own business was a bad idea, white people would not be doing it.
If starting your own business was a bad idea, immigrants would not be doing it.
The media repeatedly reports on how many new business startups are being started by immigrants, creating jobs. The media never reports on how many Black Men are starting businesses and creating jobs.
I constantly hear,
"Creative, innovative, high-tech, entrepreneurs."
"Creative, innovative, high-tech, entrepreneurs."
"Creative, innovative, high-tech, entrepreneurs."
"Creative, innovative, high-tech, entrepreneurs."
To understand the economics, let's compare Archie Bunker and George Jefferson.
Through the magic metaphor, Archie Bunker and George Jefferson work at the American Widget Company. An opening for foreman comes up. They both apply for the job. Bunker gets the job....because he is white. Nonetheless, Jefferson figures there's no real future for him at the American Widget Company, so he leaves to start Jefferson's Dry Cleaners. Then he opens a second store. Soon he has four. Then six.
Meanwhile, back at The Widget Company, Bunker gets another promotion. Now, instead of foreman, he becomes Manager, This is a suit and tie job. To look good on the job, he takes his clothes to Jefferson's Dry Cleaners.
Bunker clearly gets a bigger paycheck. Bunker gets a bigger piece of the pie. But when Bunker cashes his check he goes to Jefferson's Dry Cleaners to pick up his dry-cleaning. He takes part of his paycheck, a piece of his bigger piece of the pie, to pay his dry-cleaning bill.
Jefferson pays himself a salary. But at the end of the day, he also shows a profit.
Bunker gets a paycheck
Jefferson gets a paycheck and a profit.
Why?
Because, while Bunker gets a bigger piece of the pie, Jefferson owns a piece of the bakery that bakes the pies.
Bunker? A paycheck
Jefferson? A paycheck and a profit.
If starting your own business was a bad idea, white people would not be doing it.
If starting your own business was a bad idea, immigrants would not be doing it.
If the Democrats really want to reclaim one or both houses of Congress, if the Democrats want to reclaim the Oval Office, they must address real concerns with pursuit of substantive gains, not symbolic gestures. And there must be deliverables and measurables.
Recently a New York Times article addressed the North East Train Corridor problems.
Remember the $800 Billion economic stimulus programme? Remember the laughter?
The shovel ready projects weren't as shovel ready as we thought." Ha ha ha ha ha.
Remember tax hikes on the Billionaires and Billionaires?
Remember what I said earlier? In the above paragraph.....
The Democrats controlled the House.
The Democrats controlled the Senate
The Democrats controlled the Oval Office.
The Democrats passed the ACA over the opposition of the Republicans.
Main Point? The Republicans had no power to stop them
The Democrats passed the $800 Billion economic stimulus package over Republican opposition.
Main Point? The Republicans had no power to stop them
The tax hike on Billionaires and Billionaires? Nothing.
The Democrats can't blame the Republicans because....The Republicans had no power to stop them.
In any event, it is not the redistribution of wealth that is the issue. It is the redistribution of the money.
Wealth is what you have.
Money is what you make.
I have historical support.
Henry Ford did not redistribute his wealth. He gave his employees raises. He redistributed the money made by the Ford Motor Car Company.
The Labor Movement? Wage increases did not redistributed the wealth of the owners. Wage increases redistribute the money earned by the company.
THE 93% DELUSION.
A year or so ago, the Economist Robert Reich wrote an article about the 93% tax rate back in the "Golden Days" of America. The Eisenhower years.
The plausible economist forgets:
When the tax rate was 93% A Black man earned 50% of a White man's wage.
When the tax rate was 93% Women were "barefoot and pregnant."
When the tax rate was 93% Mexicans and Filipinos picked lettuce and grapes for pennies a day.
When the tax rate was 93% There was no EPA and factories were polluting the air and water.
When the tax rate was 93% The European economy was in shambles. We were rebuilding Europe.
The well-being described by The Plausible Economist is attributed to the 93% tax rate? Baloney.
The truth that Reich is describing is a
Racist America
Sexist America
Xenophobic America
Polluted America
Imperialist America.
The 93% taxe rate benefited only one group. Everyone else was miserable. The 93% tax rate is a scam.
President Kennedy, speaking at The Economics Club in October 1962, announced that [while counter-intuitive] cutting taxes increases revenues. But the taxes were not cut to 73% or 53% but cut to about 33%. Overkill to be sure. But I digress.
The people are beginning to perceive that The Democrats don't want to tax the rich. They want to blame it on the Republicans.
The Democrats and the Republicans have opposite approaches to solving the same problems. And, being Congress, it is not ironic that they are both wrong.
In plain speak: You can neither cut your way nor tax your way to prosperity. The EuroCrisis proves the former, the collapse of the Soviet Union proves the latter.
Hilary coulda won.
Hillary woulda won.
The way was to
Concede the existence of Newton's 3rd Law of Physics.
Analyse why it happens.
Focus on the opponents platform
Select what you can co-opt, incorporate into your own platform: (Market penetration. Increase Market Share. Revenue (vote) enhancement.)
Fish where there are fish.
Don't trash or vilify, or disparage, or demean angry voters. (Remember Nancy Pelosi's remarks about the "astroturf" movement.
Address the concerns of angry voters with a bulleted list of how you will fix the problems that make them angry. In this case. JOBS.
Einstein said,
"The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results."
He also said, "You don't measure the intelligence of a fish by its ability to climb a tree."
Slim Said. "If you want someone to climb a tree, hire a cat."
Best of luck
Sincerest regards,
Slim
P.S. If you find anything here to be helpful, please don't hesitate to send me a really tricked out Google Pixelbook & to tuck a few dollars into the envelope along with the Thank you note.
Bob Asken
Box 33
Pen Argyl, PA 18072
Copyright (c) 2017 Bob Asken
All rights reserved.
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