Thursday, May 2, 2013

Merkel's Big Lies


The First Rule of Holes.


When you find yourself in a hole--Stop Digging!



The EuroCrisis has lasted too long.


The EuroCrisis has lasted long enough. And, given the path of the trajectory, will continue.

The EuroCrisis began with a small problem.  Too much spending and too little revenue combined with a the slowing of the global economy.

The proposed solution:  institute a policy of austerity.

The actual solution:  Too much austerity.

The result: The European Economic Crisis.



How did this happen? 

 
This happened as the result of a trap carefully laid.  A strategy implemented and in progress.

  • You have debt
  • We lend you money
  • You cut spending
I explained this deceit in an article written almost two years ago.


How did Europe arrive at its current state of Economic Crisis?



Merkel's 10 Big Lies 



Big Lie # 1:  Blame Greece 



I wrote an article about the following.  The "Commission" recommended lending Greece  €110 Billion.  This loan was made on the basis of a false statement:  The forecast that the Greek economy would grow by 2% and Greece could repay the loan.

When the Greek economy did not grow by 2% because there was no basis for growth, the Commission recommended sanctions to punish Greece.  Why? to conceal the fact that the loan was made on the basis of a baseless forecast in order to impose more severe austerity on the Greek people. Economic conditions declined.  Merkel's Trojan Plan--Destroy Greece.



Big Lie # 2:  The Firewall 


In my article, Firewall or Farce, I stated that the Firewall will not protect Spain.  The Firewall did not protect Spain.



A Truth


You cannot cut wages, fire people, raise property taxes  and call it a solution.  The intractable and extremest adherence to the one-pronged (and one-pronged only) position of Austerity has driven he European Economy down and the Europeans into penury.



Big Lie # 3:  The Ponzi Scheme


With the European Economy declining, Merkel sent Madame Lagarde "begging for coppers".  The plan was to seek contributions from The Middle East, China, Brazil, The BRIC nations as a whole, in an attempt to induce the next group of contributors to help to pay the debt owed to the previous group of contributors.



Big Lie # 4:  Deceptive Denials


Merkel's position (and properly so) was that Europe should not expect German taxpayers to bail out poor nations indefinitely.  The deception? No one expected Germany taxpayers to bail out poor nations indefinitely.  No one wanted German taxpayers to bail out poor nations indefinitely.  Merkel's claim made it appear to be true.



Big Lie # 5:  Bailout: Carrots and Sticks

  • You cannot pay your bills
  • The Chancellor lends you money
  • You have responsibilities
  • You must cut spending
  • You cut spending
  • Your economy declines
  • You can't repay the loan
  • The Chancellor makes another loan
  • The Chancellor imposes harsher cuts
  • The Economy declines


 This leads to Big Lies 6 and 7



Big Lie # 6:  Incite Then Blame the People


Big Lie Number 5 creates large numbers of unemployed enduring increasingly harsh conditions.  The people have no jobs, no money, no food.  They take to the streets to protest.  The protests lead to unrest.  The protests must be quelled by Government use of force: The Police.  The use of force leads to riots.  The riots must be quelled by Troops.



Big Lie # 7.  Blame Other People


The rise of the poor and hungry leads to the rise of the opposition--The Extreme Right.  The Right cannot blame their fellow countrymen, so they blame immigrants and begin fomenting xenophobia. This creates more hostilities, more police, more riots, more troops.



Big Lie # 8:  Claim Compassion and Nobility


Merkel claims that Austerity only makes it sound Evil.  That her intentions were merely to balance the budgets.  Merkel claims to have been misunderstood in her motives.  Merkel claims to have only the most noble of intentions.  Remember,  "Let them eat cake"?  Remember what happened next?



Big Lie # 9:  Claim to be a Victim


Merkel whines:  "I've seen the posters of me dressed as a NAZI.  Poor me. I am a victim.  Try hard to understand my position."



To: The the Leaders of Europe.

As European leaders, you are presumed to be literate and well read.  Not doubt you have read Jonathan Swift and his essay, A Modest Proposal.  Swift wrote satire.  If Europe had a Food Crisis and not an Economic Crisis, Merkel's Austerity Plan would be, "Let the children starve and you will have plenty of food."  If you doubt me, look at the 50% youth unemployment.  This destruction is not limited to the economy.  This destruction is not limited to your children.  It will extend to your grandchildren.



By Definition:  

European Leaders who follow Merkel are not leaders, they are followers.

How can you,  in good conscience, destroy the lives of  your children and grandchildren?


Analysis

  • Have you followed Merkel's Lead?
  • Yes!
  • Have conditions improved?
  • No!
  • Have conditions become much worse?
  • Yes!
  • Conclusion?
  • Do not follow Merkel's Lead! 



Big Lie # 10  Austerity is Austerity


A Bailout, a loan, is spending with borrowed money. A bond is a loan. A bailout is a loan, a bailout is borrowed money.  Paying bills with borrowed money is increased spending. Stop selling bonds, start selling stocks.


I have long since projected that China will spearhead a group of "Pledge Nations" that will create a Global Sovereign Investment Fund that will infuse money into the Economy of Europe, into the hands of People, not into the hands of bankers to improve the financial position of big lenders and their big investors.

This is not about politics.  This is not about economics.  This is about process management. That and the 10 Big Lies that have perpetuated the destruction of lives through the destruction of the European Economy.

Now, now, is the time to Stop Digging!  With each passing day, European Leaders are digging a deeper and deeper hole.



Sincerest Regards,

Slim




Copyright © 2013 Slim Fairview
All Rights Reserved

The Side Street Journal is an unfunded, unsupported, non-profit web log owned and written by Slim Fairview.  I am solely responsible for the conclusions drawn from my analysis of the global economy as reported.

Monday, April 29, 2013

EuroCrats Rethink Cuts as Cure

I've been writing articles about the EuroCrisis for almost two years.

In view of Madame Lagarde's presentation at the on the Global Outlook at  Brooking's Institute, and specially due to the fact that many such presentations have come from many sources for almost two years, I am adding a link to, The Future of the G 20 in Good Times and Bad.

The Future of the G 20 in Good Times and Bad

Articles about both the European Economic Crisis and the Globalisation of the Chinese Economy are listed with links below. Thank you. Sincerely, Slim Fairview. 
  

You can't cut wages, fire people, raise taxes, and call it a solution. A one-pronged approach is not a solution but a weapon.  If you need an equation:

Merkel = Austerity; Norquist = Austerity; Merkel = Norquist


Are European Leaders Pro-Obama or Pro-Merkel?


For M. Hollande:

As Humphrey Bogart said to Captain Renault in Casablanca, "Louis, are you Pro-Merkel or Free French?"

My third, all-time, most read article:

Merkel's Last Stand tells how China will lead the Global recovery.

Also:

The EuroCrats Trojan Plan--Destroy Greece

EuroBondage and Leadership

Merkel and Charybdis

Too Greek to Fail

Beware!  The Chancellor is Consolidating Power

EU Growth Summit: Slim Defeats Merkel

EuroCracy. With Apologies to Swift

Merkel Invades Russia

I told you Spain would happen

Firewall or Farce?

I truly believed the EuroCrats saw the light when I wrote on 19 October 2011

EuroCrats Take Slim's Advice!


On explaining how crucial China is to leading the global recovery I wrote a short list of popular articles:


China? No. China!

Underestimating China Again

China! Economics! Diversification!

China: Economics and a word beginning with the letter P.

China: Not the What? The Where!

China. Hostile or Expedient?

America v. China: The Diplomacy Wars

I have been inveighing against Merkelism for almost two years.  

Merkelism: an economic system based on the fear that someone, somewhere is earning a living.

Slimviews  & Side Street Journal  are Unfunded, Unsupported, Non-Profit, web logs by Slim Fairview.

Read my blog today or hear it from experts in a month or two. (In this case, a year or two!)

NB

If you find anything here to be helpful, please do not hesitate to send me a really tricked-out laptop and to put a few dollars into the envelope along with the thank you note. Slim


My LinkedIn Profile:


Pack it up and ship it off to me, [FedEx]

Regards,

Slim

Copyright (c) 2013 Bob Asken as Slim Fairview

All Rights Reserved

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Newton's AAPL


The i-watch is a great idea--limited by its screen-size.  As Apple starts competing with itself, it will start feeding on itself.  That is a sure sign of the impending decline.  Remember IBM? Remember Xerox?  Remember the Buick Arrow? 

APPL i-TV?  Great idea.  Now we need content!  Cook better look to supply his own content or be at the mercy of the market.

Remember my article from 11 February 2013

Idea: Apple and Facebook buys AOL. Time Warner CNN




***************************************


This is not a tech problem. This is a B-School Problem

At First You are Alone.  Then...


  • At first, you put out an awesome product
  • You capture market share
  • You are the darling
  • You instigate competition
  • Competitors erode market share
  • You must innovate
  • You do
  • They must innovate
  • They do

When Something New Comes Out
There are hundreds of copycats.  
What happens?


  • Some companies fail
  • Some companies merge
  • Some companies acquire
  • New companies emerge
  • Some companies innovate
  • Some companies succeed
  • Other companies fail
  • You lose market share
  • You must innovate or evolve

 Consumer Fatigue

People have brand loyalty.  I used to use the toothpaste that "tastes good so they brush longer."
Then I changed brands.


For a long time, people have assumed that consumers want choice.  That is what they sell.  "We offer you choice."  Researchers have concluded that consumers want closure.  Apple gives that.  People are happy. They have an i-Pod, an i-Phone, an i-Pad, or they have a Mac Pro.  What happens?  Consumer fatigue.  Competitors erode the market.


Institutional Memory 


This has been discussed. If you really need to know more, Google it!


Institutional Amnesia

 Institutional Amnesia is not about the individuals in the organisation.  It is about the organisation itself.  Therefore (.∙.):


  • IBM®
  • Xerox®

Where  are they now?  They are still around, but....

What we have is a case where mistakes should be a guidepost, not a hitching post.  Still, we see institution after institution make the same mistakes again and again.  Witness, JCP.  Ron Johnson wanted the consumers to buy what he wanted to sell.  Instead, he should have sold what the consumers wanted to buy.  Johnson: everyday low pricing.  The Consumer: coupons  and discounts.


Rebranding 


I will be brief.  The Bentley.  Then, a Rolls Royce without the grille.  The Rolls Royce for the gentleman who eschewed the ostentatious.  Low key displays of wealth.  Not anymore.
Now, the Bentley is the Pop Star Car.  The turbocharged convertible Bentley is for the crowd that embraces a lifestyle of loud noises, bright colours, and shiny things. 


Apple can innovate  



Apple can come up with new products. The i-TV.  The i-Watch.  They will:



  • At first, you put out an awesome product
  • You capture market share
  • You are the darling
  • You instigate competition
  • Competitors erode market share
  • You must innovate
  • You do
  • They must innovate
  • They do
  

 Evolve 

 Apple is at the point now where they must grow, evolve, expand.

This is the reason why I wrote the article APPL + FB ought to buy AOL, Time Warner, CNN.

http://sidestreetjournal.blogspot.com/2013/02/idea-appl-fb-buy-aol-time-warner-cnn.html  



They will receive 



  • Email
  • Publishing
  • Cable
  • Movies
  • A Global News Network
 

 This will enable the pair to:


  • Invest Cash
  • Monetise Facebook
  • Bring added value to the i-Pad and the i-Phone with movies
  • Bring added value to the i-TV with "cable access"
  • Access One Billion users world-wide
  • Provide Global News to Global Users
  • And create opportunities not yet thought of or invented

 Still, if you're not buying into the premise, there is still a lesson to be learned.


Warmest regards,


Slim


Slimfairview@yahoo.com



PS.   If you find anything I've said to be helpful, please do not hesitate to send me a really tricked-out Mac Bool and to tuck a few dollars into the envelope along with the thank-you note. Slim


LinkedIn Profile

Bob Asken
Box 33

Pen Argyl, PA 18072  



Copyright © 2013 Bob Asken
All rights reserved