AMERICIDE
“The military option is no longer viable” ~ Slim Fairview
“The Economic zero-Sum Game is no longer viable.” ~ Slim
Fairview.
"Americide is not analogous to homicide. Americide is analogous to suicide." ~ Slim Fairview.
"Americide is not analogous to homicide. Americide is analogous to suicide." ~ Slim Fairview.
Both having been said before leads us to a better
understanding of what is happening and, by extension, what will happen. Call it “Que Sera” if you will.
In previous articles outlined two important moves that
portend a shift in the path of the trajectory for the global economy.
Mr. Putin’s Economic Theatre of Operation
Emerging Nations Economic Unions
By my definition, Emerging Nations are those enduring a low
GDP, unstable food supply, and that are being exploited by industrialized nations. Nations that are being kept shackled to
poverty by being kept shackled to poverty programmes.
Now, it would appear that some people actually have been
reading my blogs.
Recently, BRIC nations plus South Africa announced the
formation of a Global Development Bank.
This news was being reported in July.
This is what I wrote about in February and March.
While these nations may be at variance with my definition of
Emerging Nations, I must concede I did say it is up to each nation to choose to
define itself as such. With this
announcement, China Russia, India and Brazil and now South Africa appear to
have done so.
I want to believe that their leaders read my blog and
embraced Slim’s Admonition.
"The Economic Zero-Sum Game isn’t going to work anymore."
If you go back a few years, you will have read another of my
admonitions. The world is evolving into
Power Centres.
The Asian Power Centre
The Middle Eastern Power Centre
The African Power Centre
The Latin American Power Centre
The European Power Centre
The North American Power Centre
These power centres are now forming around economic
interests. Or, more to the point, Economic Survival. Soon, Economic potency.
Where does that leave us?
Remember China before Nixon’s overture in Asia Major? Isolationist.
And the Global Economy functions.
Now, some 40 years later, China is the second largest and fastest
growing economy on the planet.
Fun with numbers.
Rule of 72. A metaphor
China growth = 8% [ 72
÷ 8 = 9 ]
US growth = 2% [ 72
÷2 = 36]
By way of metaphor, China’s economy doubles in 9 years, the
US economy doubles in 36 years. Hold
that thought.
What happens when the rest of the world decides it does not
need the US economy?
Remember when I said, “The haves are increasing
arithmetically: the have nots are increasing geometrically.”?
What happens when the newly defined Emerging Nations begin
leading the other Emerging Nations toward earning a bigger piece of the
Pie? Toward claiming their rightful
share of the pie? In addition, less
reliance on the American Markets for Revenue and less reliance on the US for
necessities.
The Chinese consumer will replace the US consumer. Remember, China has a population of 1.3
Billion people. China Elevated 500 million
people from poverty to the middle class.
The US has only 300 million consumers.
If China can do that for 500 million Chinese people, then
500 million Chinese people can do that for 500 million or more people around
the globe.
Rising Chinese affluence will create a growing market for
growing global economies. This will
elevate many of the have nots to the level of the haves.
India: The quantity of food that rots on the vine due to the
lack of infrastructure will diminish. India
has a new Prime Minister. This presages the possibility of reforms to build the
necessary infrastructure to increase the quantity of food available.
In addition, developing agricultural resources will make
emerging nations less beholden to America’s Bread Basket. The Rust Belt speaks to that.
With the US achieving energy independence, the demand for foreign
oil won’t be the real issue. The real
issue is the diminishing reliance on the American market. If we don’t buy it, other nations will.
Alliances will—well, I said it before:
Alliances will—well, I said it before:
“It is a universal condition: we refuse to accept that all
alliances and enmities are transitory.” ~ Slim Fairview The Quotations of Slim Fairview © 2014
"But don't bother listening to me. Everyone always doesn't listen to me." ~ Slim Fairview
Warmest regards,
Slim
slimfairview@yahoo.com
Copyright © 2014 Robert Asken as Slim Fairview
All rights reserved.
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