Showing posts with label logic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label logic. Show all posts

Saturday, July 1, 2023

Solving Tomorrow's Problems with Yesterday's Solutions

 

My Great Grandfather, Fair Slimview, owned an upscale buggy whip factory. [A fictive device I created for today's observation.]


When the Motor Car was invented, his business began to fail. So he made drastic changes. He summoned his employees to make an announcement.


"With people switching to the Motor Car, running an upscale buggy whip factory is no longer viable. Therefore, I've invested in new equipment. From now on, we will manufacture mass market buggy whips. When folks see how cheap they are, they'll flock back to the donkey wagon showrooms and we'll be back in business


Now, I'm sure my distinguished LinkedIn colleague, Paulette Dale, PH.D can explain the fallacy of logic in Pap-pap Slimview's thinking. The only logical fallacies I know come from Google


Nonetheless, today we are trying to solve problems with yesterday's solutions. The forward thinkers are trying to solve tomorrow's problems with today's solutions. We simply don't get it. We need to rethink the way we rethink the problems and solutions to get anywhere.


Case in point, China will succeed if China does as we did, not as we say.  China is using our strategy against us.


We will fail if we do as people tell us to do and not as we did.


"Those who forget history are doomed to repeat it."

Santayana


"Those who remember history are able to repeat it." Slim Fairview



Regards,


Slim

Box 33

Pen Argyl, PA 18072

Etats-Unis


The Quotations of Slim Fairview

Copyright © 2023 All rights reserved


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Wednesday, April 14, 2021

Boiled Eggs and Bad Logic

 

I am making hard boiled eggs.
I peel them.
It does not work out well.
I watch a cooking show.
I learn how to do it.
The next time I boil eggs, it works
The shells comes of easily
The time after that, they do not.

Headline: It works when it works. Not when it doesn't.

By now, many will have heard the Latin expression,
Post hoc ergo propter hoc
Simply put:
This happened after that happened.
Therefore that caused this to happen.
That is why it is called fallacious logic.

Too often we rely on this because;
It offers validation
It confirms a theory
It affirms our belief
It justifies the respect we have for those who say what we want to hear.
This, of course, leads to disaster

Some have theories.
They look for data to validate their theories.
I call them, data seekers.

Confirmation Bias: 
Confirmation bias is when someone accept what validates their opinion

Using the term, "Confirmation Bias", intellectualises the subject.
This changes the focus from the individual to the process.
This is another reason the problem continues.

Regards,

Slim.

Robert Asken
Box 33
Pen Argyl, PA 18072

Also on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/slimfairview/


The Quotations of Slim Fairview
© 2021 Robert Asken
All rights reserved