Boiled Eggs and Bad Logic

 

I am making hard boiled eggs.
I peel them.
It does not work out well.
I watch a cooking show.
I learn how to do it.
The next time I boil eggs, it works
The shells comes of easily
The time after that, they do not.

Headline: It works when it works. Not when it doesn't.

By now, many will have heard the Latin expression,
Post hoc ergo propter hoc
Simply put:
This happened after that happened.
Therefore that caused this to happen.
That is why it is called fallacious logic.

Too often we rely on this because;
It offers validation
It confirms a theory
It affirms our belief
It justifies the respect we have for those who say what we want to hear.
This, of course, leads to disaster

Some have theories.
They look for data to validate their theories.
I call them, data seekers.

Confirmation Bias: 

Confirmation bias is when someone accept what validates their opinion

Using the term, "Confirmation Bias", intellectualises the subject.
This changes the focus from the individual to the process.
This is another reason the problem continues.

Regards,

Slim.

Robert Asken

Box 33

Pen Argyl, PA 18072

Also on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/in/slimfairview/

The Quotations of Slim Fairview
© 2021 Robert Asken
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