Showing posts with label Greek default. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Greek default. Show all posts

Monday, June 22, 2015

EuroTheatre



EuroTheatre

What we are witnessing is pure theatre.  The statements are nothing but posturing. And it is happening because it is so blatant and so transparent.

“You cannot cut wages, fire people, raise taxes, and call it a solution.” ~ Slim Fairview Europe, and Greece, need capital investment, economic development, and growth.
“A one pronged approach is not a solution. It is a weapon.”  I created a metaphor to explain why austerity won’t work.  I entitled it, Merkel and the Salesman. This explains why austerity does not work, will not work, cannot work.

It was on 2 May 2013 that I wrote this:

*******
“I have long since projected that China will spearhead a group of "Pledge Nations" that will create a Global Sovereign Investment Fund that will infuse money into the Economy of Europe, into the hands of People, not into the hands of bankers to improve the financial position of big lenders and their big investors.”

This is not about politics.  This is not about economics.  This is about process management. That and the 10 Big Lies that have perpetuated the destruction of lives through the destruction of the European Economy.

Now, now, is the time to Stop Digging!  With each passing day, European Leaders are digging a deeper and deeper hole.”

*****


2 May 2013:  Merkel’s Big Lies. This article listed the 10 propaganda tricks to validate the strict adherence to Austerity. 


At the same time, people have begun discussing whether or not China will play a role in the Greek Economic Crisis.  Well, as I stated 2 years ago, yes!

This plays out against the back drop of US-China talks in Washington, D.C.

As far as the markets go, I used to say, “When the numbers out of China are bad, the Wall Street Experts gloat.  When the numbers out of China are good, the Wall Street Experts doubt the numbers.  Now, they call it a bubble. (Perhaps I am an influencer.)
I also pointed out: “China will succeed because China will do as we did and not as we say.”

Case in Point: We raise concerns about China’s activities in the South China Sea.  China, however, has been given the opportunity to say, “Manifest Destiny”.

China has invested in Asia, Africa, Latin America, and is doing business in Europe and the US.  Anyone who possesses a nodding acquaintance with portfolio management will see this as a diversified investment portfolio.







A bailout is not the solution.  The solution is Capital Investment, Economic Development, and Growth.

The EuroCrats have a narrow window of opportunity.  If they don’t do it, China will.  By way of metaphor: China will ship Saudi Arabian oil on Greek Ships, through the Nicaragua Canal to China and the rest of Asia.


“But don’t bother listening to me. Everyone always doesn’t listen to me.” ~ Slim Fairview.  From The Quotations of Slim Fairview.


Warmest regards,

Slim



Copyright © 2015 Bob Asken (writing as Slim Fairview)
All rights reserved.


Thursday, December 1, 2011

Lender of First Resort?

How long have the EuroCrats been trying to solve the EuroCrisis?

Too long.

Has the situation become more high, good, better?

No.

Has the situation become more low, bad, worse?

Yes.

DON'T DO THAT!

My constant complaint with everything that has been said or written about the crisis is that it is descriptive not prescriptive.  The EuroCrats keep toiling away, clutching retentively to the process of applying Band-Aid after Band-Aid to the situation with no resolution.

Now it is time to rethink the way you rethink the problem and the solution.

The phrase that suddenly jumped out at me is "Lender of last resort."  Why?

Let's try to rethink a possible solution.  This is not an answer. This is a question.  The question is very simple.

Will this work?

Forgetting the institutions we have for just a moment, The IMF, The ECB, The EFSF and look for a metaphorical, UEB.  The Unified European Bank.  And put aside, for a moment the declamation, "We can't do that because....."

Will this work?

Make the UEB the European Lender of First Resort.

The UEB is the first purchaser of Greek Bonds, Portugal Bonds, French Bonds, German Bonds, &c.  The UEB ignores bond ratings.  They become irrelevant.

They buy the bonds (for the purposes of discussion only) at 5%.

The UEB then becomes a reseller, reselling the bonds at, say 6%.  Yes, I know this is less than they are paying out.  This is the subsidy in lieu of the bottomless pit of the bailout solution.

The bonds, offered by the UEB and backed by the EuroNations are more attractive than say Greek Bonds or Italian Bonds, or now even German Bonds. (Remember the German Bond Sale Gone Bad?)

However, "Austerity without Growth is not a solution."  Slim Fairview.  From The Quotations of Slim Fairview.

Now you have Step Two.

You can choose:

Plan A:  Growth and Economic Development.

Plan B:  Economic Development and Growth.

That, of course, is a trick question.  You cannot have growth without economic development.

Privatisation is not a dirty when when, for example, the Greek Bus Driver stops driving for the metaphorical Athens Metropolitan Transit Authority and begins driving for the Athens Bus Company--and the Greek Bus Driver now owns stock in the Athens Bus Company.

The Greek Bus Drivers goes from a paycheck (tenuous, not guaranteed, smaller than it was due to austerity measures, and non-existent if he gets fired) to earning a Paycheck and a Profit.

He not only receives a piece of the pie, he receives a piece of the profits from the bakery because he owns a piece of the bakery.

This may be a radical departure.  However, if the EuroCrats continue to discuss measures that have been implemented repeatedly and have repeatedly failed and failed miserably to resolve the crisis, it may be time for them to rethink the way they rethink the problem and start thinking about some new solutions.  New ideas.  New methods.

And please.....ask Angela Merkel to step down.

Bon chance.

Sincerest regards,

Slim

If you find anything here to be helpful, please don't hesitate to send me a really tricked out Mac Book and to tuck a few dollars into the envelope along with the thank you note.  Slim.

Bob Asken
Box 33
Pen Argyl, PA 18072
Etats Unis

Slimfairview@yahoo.com

Copyright (c) 2011 Bob Asken
All Rights Reserved.